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The following is a bibliographical list of articles written by Dr. William H. Overholt. Scroll down to view the complete list:
2010 - present
- "Another Outing for Myth-Based Diplomacy," Global Asia, December, 2023. [pdf] [online article]
- "Blinken's trip hasn't interrupted slide toward war," Asia Times, June 22, 2023. [pdf] [online article]
- "Development and security in the 21st century," China International Strategy Review, June 21, 2023. [pdf] [online article]
- "The Era of Chinese Supergrowth Is Over," Barron's, May 26, 2023. [pdf] [online article]
- "Could China Become Like Japan in the Early 1990s?," The International Economy, Winter, 2023. [pdf] [online article]
- "China's Coming Era of Slow Growth," Center for the Study of Contemporary China 9th Annual Conference, March 31, 2023. [pdf]
- "Foreign policy of an anxious adolescent superpower," East Asia Forum, March, 2023. [pdf] [online article]
- "Xi Jinping Won't Enjoy His Third Term," Global Asia, December, 2022. [pdf] [online article]
- "Harvard guru gives Biden a D+ for China policy," Asia Times, November 23, 2022. [pdf] [online article]
- "Why Xi Jinping Will Not Enjoy his Third Term," Asia Times, November 19, 2022. [pdf] [online article]
- ""China's Future: Xi Jinping and After," video with Lawrence Summers," The Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard University, November 18, 2022.
- "Thinking through the China Hype," The International Economy, Summer, 2022. [pdf] [online article]
- "Putin's losses in Asia are bigger than in Ukraine," The Hill, September 21, 2022. [pdf] [online article]
- "Development, Sovereignty, Ideology and the New Great Power Competition," Keynote Address at the Institute of China Studies, University of Malaya, December 9, 2021. [pdf]
- "Was US-China engagement premised on Chinese political liberalization?," The Hill, October 14, 2021. [pdf]
- "Letter to the Editor," The Wire China, August 4, 2021. [pdf]
- "Biden cannot counter China with a team that lacks expertise," The Hill, July 7, 2021. [pdf]
- "Hale Podcast Episode 11: Dr. William Overholt on US-China Relations," EconVue Spotlight, January 22, 2021. [podcast]
- "Hale Podcast Episode 11: Dr. William Overholt on US-China Relations [transcript]," EconVue Spotlight, January 22, 2021. [pdf]
- "China and America: A New Game in a New Era," Prism, Vol. 9, No. 2, 2021. [pdf]
- "Myths and Realities in Sino-American Relations," The Wire China, January 10, 2021. [pdf]
- "China BRI emulates US [FULL VERSION]," East Asia Forum Quarterly, October - December 2020. [pdf]
- "China BRI emulates US [EXCERPT]," East Asia Forum, December 21, 2020. [pdf]
- "Myths and Realities in Sino-American Relations," Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies and Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard University, November 12, 2020. [pdf]
- "The Logic & Illogic of China-US Decoupling," Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies at Harvard University, October 31, 2020. [video]
- "In countering China, the US must not lose its knack for nuanced diplomacy," South China Morning Post, August 7, 2020. [pdf]
- "Trump versus Huawei: right target, disastrous strategy," East Asia Forum, June 21, 2020. [pdf]
- "Renminbi Internationalisation Deferred," OMFIF, May 15, 2020. [pdf]
- "Is the World's Reserve Currency in Trouble?," A Symposium of Views, The International Economy, Winter 2020. [pdf]
- "China and America: A new game in a new era," Naval War College Foundation Symposium, August 16, 2019. [pdf]
- "Is the China model a threat?," East Asia Forum, July 7, 2019. [pdf]
- "Managing Canada's Relations With China," Ninth National Forum on Canada-China Economic Relations, May 24, 2019. [pdf]
- "Will Xi Jinping Succeed?," Kennedy School at Harvard University, March 2019. [video]
- "China's Crisis of Success," ALPINE MACRO Featured Report, February 25, 2019. [pdf]
- "China and America: The Age of Realist Geoeconomics," Remarks to the Carter Center celebration of the 40th anniversary of Sino-American diplomatic normalization, January 18, 2019. [pdf]
- "Sino-American relations: a strategic overview," Edited transcript of an overview concluding a Carter Center celebration of the 40th anniversary of Sino-American diplomatic normalization, January 18, 2019. [pdf]
- "China's Crisis of Success: Book Talk with Dr. William Overholt," Center for Strategic & International Studies, January 15, 2019. [video]
- "China's 'Brilliant' Economic Plan Blocked by Government Fear," South China Morning Post, October 31, 2018. [video]
- "Dr. William Overholt of Harvard University predicts global recession within two to three years," South China Morning Post, October 30, 2018. [video]
- "Myths and Misconceptions in U.S.-China Relations," National Committee on American Foreign Policy, October 2018. [pdf]
- "The West is getting China wrong," East Asia Forum, August 11, 2018. [pdf]
- "Xi is no Putin," Nikkei Asian Review, May 15, 2018. [pdf]
- "Is China taking global leadership away from the United States?" The Fairbank Center, June, 2017.
- "A Symposium of Views: What Are China's Global Economic Intentions?" The International Economy, Winter, 2017. [pdf]
- "William H. Overholt: The Great Betrayal," The International Economy, Winter, 2017. [pdf]
- "William H. Overholt: The yuan's transition to international currency hits a wall," Nikkei Asian Review, January 26, 2017. [pdf]
- "William H. Overholt: China and the Evolution of the World Economy," China Economic Review, September, 2016. [pdf]
- "Renminbi Rising: Brave New Monetary World?" The Diplomat, January 19, 2016. [pdf]
- "One Belt, One Road, One Pivot," Global Asia, Vol. 10, No. 3, Fall 2015. [pdf]
- "The Politics of China's Anti-Corruption Campaign," East Asian Forum Quarterly, April-June 2015.
- "China's Xi Factor," Project Syndicate, December 16, 2013.
- "Reassessing China: Awaiting Xi Jinping," The Washington Quarterly, Spring 2012. [pdf]
- "Through a Glass Darkly: Assessing China's Early Reforms," Hong Kong Economic Journal, June 24, 2011.
- "The China Model", Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Vol.4, No.2, June 2011. [Pdf]
- "China and the Global Financial Crisis: Rising Influence, Rising Challenges," Washington Quarterly, January 2010, 21-34.
2000 - 2009
- "Leadership in China & Japan," chapter in Dennis A. Rondinelli and John M. Heffron, Leadership for Development: What Globalization Demands of Leaders Fighting for Change (Kumarian Press, 2009).
- William H. Overholt and Pieter Bottelier, "Cost of unleashing China's currency" Christian Science Monitor July 13, 2007.
- "Be Tougher on Burma than China," in Dinah Shelton, Hurst Hannum and James Anaya, International Human Rights: Problems of Law, Policy and Practice, 4th edition (Cambridge, Massachusetts: Aspen Law and Business, 2006)
- "Which Economy Will Run Into Trouble First: The US or China?" Policy & Markets, January 2006.
- "Selling Foreign Investment Short," Management and Organization Review, Vol. 1, pp. 319-327, July 2005. [pdf]
- "China and Globalization," Testimony to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, May 19, 2005, [pdf]
- Keith Crane, Roger Cliff, Evan Medeiros, James C. Mulvenon and William H. Overholt, Modernizing China's Military: Opportunities and Constraints (Santa Monica: RAND Corp., 2005). My contribution was primarily to the budget chapter of this book and I disagreed with the relatively pessimistic outlook for the Chinese economy, which drove the military conclusions.
- "China Shows Advantages of Accessible Economy," Shanghai Daily, September 27, 2004.
- "Hong Kong or Shanghai?" China Business Review, May-June 2004. [pdf]
- "China's Economy: Resilience and Challenges," Harvard China Review, Spring 2004. [pdf]
- "The Future of China's Automobile Industry," PowerPoint presentation, March 31, 2004
- "It's Easy to Blame China for Everything," International Herald Tribune, January 22, 2004.
- "Lessons from the Asian and Latin American Crisis for Development of China's Bond Market," originally a paper presented to the international conference on Chinese bond markets, State Guest Hotel, Beijing, December 10, 2003.
- "Exposing the Myths," South China Morning Post, November 17, 2003.
- "China's Economy, Beyond 2003," Proceedings of the 6th Annual RAND-China Reform Forum Conference, August 28-29, 2003. [pdf]
- China's Car Market After WTO," PowerPoint briefing, July 2003.
- "The Future of China's Budget," paper for Project Air Force, April 2003.
- "Policies for China's Car Market Under the New Leaders," PowerPoint briefing, January 2003.
- "Prospects for China's Currency," PowerPoint briefing, January 2003.
- "Lessons of the Asian and Latin American Financial Crises for the Chinese Bond Market," originally a paper presented to the international conference on Chinese bond markets, State Guest Hotel, Beijing, December 10, 2003.
- "China Under New Leaders," address to American Chamber of Commerce, Hong Kong, November 2003
- "China's Currency: Exposing the Myths," South China Morning Post, November 17, 2003.
- "Will India Beat China?" response to Yasheng Huang and Tarun Khanna, Foreign Policy, October 2003.
- "China's Financial Development: The Next Five Years," Keynote Address to Funds World 2003 Conference, Pudong Shangrila Hotel, Shanghai, October 30, 2003.
- "China's Economy and Currency," presentation to Annual Meeting of the National Association of Business Economists, Sheraton Colony Square Hotel, Atlanta, September 15, 2003.
- "The Future of China's Currency," address to Asia Society, Island Shangrila Hotel, Hong Kong, October 8, 2003.
- "China's Financial Progress and Risks," address to Pacific Rim Forum, Great Hall of the People, September 29, 2003. Also "Domestic and Global Consequences of China's WTO Membership," with former WTO head Mike Moore, September 30, 2003.
- "China's Currency: Exposing the Myths," South China Morning Post, November 17, 2003.
- "Getting Beyond Boundaries," South China Morning Post, July 16, 2003
- "Be Tougher on Burma than China," Wall Street Journal, July 4, 2003.
- "How China Has Reinvented Itself," South China Morning Post, November 16, 2002 [pdf]
- "China's Economy and Asia's Future," in Kent H. Butts and Edward L. Hughes, editors, Economics and National Security: The Case of China (Carlisle Pennsylvania: Brookings Institution and the Center for Strategic Leadership of the U.S. Army War College, 2002), Chapter 7.
- "WTO Compliance and Sectoral Issues," Testimony to the U.S. China Economic and Security Review Commission, January 18, 2002.
- "The Rise of China: Phase Two," to be published by China Vest, December 2001
- "Keeping the Bad News at Bay," Newsweek International, August 6, 2001. [pdf]
- "Wrong Way Wang Wei Scares Markets," Nomura, 9 April 2001.
- "The Economics and Politics of China's Economic Success," Annual Charles Rostov Lecture, Johns Hopkins Nanjing Center, Nanjing, China
- "China's Economic Success and Asia's Future" paper for conference on "Economics and National Security: The Case of China," sponsored by Brookings Institution and the National Intelligence Council, Carlisle Barracks, Carlisle. Pennsylvania, November 27, 2001. [pdf]
- "Chinese Economic Growth and Asian Stability," paper for joint conference of Brookings Institution and the National Intelligence Council, Carlisle Barracks PA, 26-28 November 2001
- "Why China Grows When Others Don't, Why Japan Is Falling," address sponsored by American Chamber of Commerce in Hong Kong, November 2, 2001
- "An Agenda for Chinese Banks: What Follows Asset and Risk Management?" World Economic Forum China Summit, April 18, 2000
- "China PNTR," Nomura, 20 September 2000
- "China's Emerging Economic Recovery," Nomura, March 1, 2000.
- "China's Recovery," Nomura, February 29, 2000. [pdf]
- "China Threatens Taiwan," Nomura, February 26, 2000
1990 - 2000 - "Foreign Direct Investment in China," Fortune China (Chinese language edition of Fortune), September, 8, 1999.
- "China and the U.S.: An Inexorable Clash?" Nomura, May 10, 1999-06-17.
- "China In the Balance," Nomura, May 1999. [pdf]
- "China's Economic Squeeze," Orbis, Winter 1999.
- "Chinese Financial Reform," World Economic Forum China Summit, Beijing, April 25, 1999.
- "Foreign Direct Investment in China," Fortune China (Chinese language edition of Fortune), September, 8, 1999
- "China and the U.S.: an inexorable clash?" Nomura, May 10, 1999. [pdf]
- Review of Daniel Burstein and Arne de Keijzer, Big Dragon, in the Far Eastern Economic Review, April 17, 1998. [text]
- "Will China Become the Next Superpower?" Centennial Lecture, Beijing University, March 30, 1998, sponsored by the China Center for Economic Research.
- "China in the Twenty-First Century," Plenary Address to the Investment Management Association of Singapore, February 26, 1998, Westin Hotel, Singapore.
- "China After Deng," PowerPoint Presentation, 1997.
- "China After Deng Xiaoping," Foreign Affairs, May-June 1996
- "China's Stunning Emergence Risks a New Cold War," 1996 Dateline, Overseas Press Club, April 25, 1996.
- William H. Overholt, Wei Lu, and Jay N. Woodworth, "China's New Assertiveness in Domestic and Foreign Policy," A Special Report for Global Assessment Subscribers, March 1996.
- "China: The Latest Asian Takeoff," The Sydney Papers Volume 7, Number 1, Summer 1995 (published by the Sydney Institute, Sydney, Australia). [pdf]
- "China's Mandate, Made in Heaven," Asia Inc., April 1995, 50-53.
- "China After Deng Xiaoping," Bankers Trust, Article 91/1, July 17, 1995.
- "China, the U.S. and Taiwan: The Lee Teng Hui Visit," Bankers Trust, Article 85, June 16, 1995.
- "China's Creditworthiness," Bankers Trust, Article 46/1, February 9, 1995
- "The Rise of China's Economy," Business Economics XXIX, 2, April 1994. [pdf]
- "China's High Road to Economic Development," The McKinsey Quarterly, 1994, Number 1. [pdf]
- "China and the Prospects for Asian Growth," Plenary address to annual ASFA meeting, Perth, Australia, November 9, 1994.
- "Banking in China," Address to 30th Anniversary Celebration Seminar on Banking in the Twenty-First Century, Hotel Victoria, Hong Kong, November 2, 1994.
- "China: Current Crises and Long-Term Performance," plenary address to Pacific Forum, China World Hotel, Beijing, October 26, 1994.
- The Rise of China: How Economic Reform Is Creating a New Superpower, New York, W.W. Norton, 1993.
This book won the Mainichi News/Asian Affairs Research Center Seventh Annual Special Book Prize for contributions to understanding of Pacific Asian Nations. Awarded November 9, 1995.
- China: A Proxima Superpotencia, Portuguese edition, Difusao Cultural, Lisbon, 1996.
- Chinese edition (traditional characters), Triumph Publishers, Taipei, 1996.
- Chinese edition (simplified characters), Xinhua Publishers, Beijing, 1996.
- Thai edition, Bangkok, The Nation Publishing Company, 1996.
- Korean edition, Seoul, Korean Journalistic Information Publishing Company, 1995.
- Il Risveglio Della Cina, Milan, Il Saggiatore, Fall 1994.
- China--De Reus Ontwaakt, Rijswijk, Netherlands, Uitgeverij Elmar B.V., 1994.
- Chugoku--Tsugi no Chotaikoku: (China, The Next Superpower: The Rise of an Asian-style Strategy), Tokyo, Simul Press, June 1994.
- Gigant der Zukunft: China's Wirtschaft vor dem Grossen Sprung, Munich, Droemer, March 1994.
- China: The Next Economic Superpower, London, Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 1993, British Commonwealth version of The Rise of China.
- "China's Takeoff," Address to the Asian Bankers Association Tenth General Meeting, Shenzhen, China, November 16, 1993.
- "The Implications of China's Emergence," Keynote address to the Russell 20-20 Annual Meeting, Stanford Park Hotel, San Francisco, November 17, 1993.
- "The Economic Impact of China on the World Market," address to World Economic Development Congress, Washington D.C., September 24, 1993.
- "China's Economic Reforms," keynote address to annual meeting of Hong Kong Economic Association, February 15, 1993.
- "China: Coping With Deng's Last Fling," September 16, 1993.
- "Prospects for the Renminbi," May 16, 1993.
- "The Chinese Economic Model and Its Prospects," two-hour address to the Hong Kong Institute of Economic Science, Royal Hong Kong Jockey Club, 9 January 1992
- "U.S. Economic Policy Toward China," paper for Japanese-American conference on China sponsored by the Asia Society, New York, Dec. 18-19, 1991, and published as a chapter in an Asia Society book during 1992.
- "China's Creditworthiness," BT Asia Securities Limited, July 24, 1992.
- "Why China Booms While Russia Bombs," Asian Wall Street Journal, 15 December 1992. [pdf]
- "China and British Hong Kong", Reprinted with permission from Current History (90:557, September, 1991. p. 270.) c2011-2012, Current History, Inc. www.currenthistory.com [pdf]
- "China and MFN," Testimony to Asia Pacific Subcommittee of House Foreign Affairs Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, 29 May 1991
- "The Chinese Economic Model and Its Prospects," two-hour address to the Hong Kong Institute of Economic Science, Royal Hong Kong Jockey Club, 9 January 1992.
- "Broken China," The International Economy (July/August 1991). [pdf]
- "Hong Kong and China after 1997: The Real Issues," The Academy of Political Science, Vol.38, No.2, pp. 30-52, 1991.
- "The Emergence of Chinese Capital Markets," Asian Survey, XXI, 5. (May, 1991)
- "The Emergence of Chinese Capital Markets," BTB 424/1 (22 Aug 1990). [pdf]
- "China's Reforms : The Next Wave," BTB 423/1 (17 August 1990)
- "Deng, Not Gorbachev, May Get the Laurels," International Herald Tribune, June 27, 1990, reprinted in Singapore Business Times, June 29, 1990, and in Chinese translation in Wen Wei Po, June 29, 1990.
1980 - 1990 - "China's Power Struggle and Hong Kong's Future," BTB 186/1 (May 30, 1989).
- "China/Hong Kong Update," BTB 180/1 (May 25, 1989).
- "China/Hong Kong Update," BTB 179/1 (May 24, 1989).
- "Turmoil in China," BTB 178/1 (May 22, 1989).
- "Alternatives to China's Foreign Exchange Certificate," PAG 282/1-D (June 27, 1986).
- "China: Economic Reforms in Controversy," PAG 277/1-D (May 26, 1986).
- "China: Reformers in Retreat" PAG 254/1-D (December 4, 1985).
- "China's Foreign-Investment Schizophrenia,"(with Peter Kwok)," Asian Wall Street Journal, 29 October 1985.
- "Hong Kong Negotiating PRC Sovereignty," Bankers Trust, BTPAG 207/1-D, June 25 1985. [pdf]
- "China: Mid-Course Corrections," Bankers Trust, BTPAG 229/1-D, April 04, 1985. [pdf]
- "China the Technocrats Win," Bankers Trust, BTPAG 201/1-D, June 22, 1984. [pdf]
- "The U.S. and China: Talking Points," Bankers Trust, BTPAG 142/1-D, February 09, 1983. [pdf]
- "Political Risk in Hong Kong," Bankers Trust, BTPAG, February 1983.
- "Political Risk in China," PAG 130/1-D (December 14, 1982). [pdf]
1970s - "The Balance of Power Issue in America's China Policy," Hudson Institute, HI-2719/3-P, May 1978. [pdf]
- "China After Mao: The Global Implications." Occasional Paper of Seven Springs Center, Mount Kisco, New York. Executive summary of a conference held February 24-26, 1977. [pdf]
- "China and Taiwan," HI-2489-DP (July 1976).
- "Would Chiang Find Mao an Unacceptably Strange Bedfellow? " HI-1544/6-P, Asian Survey XIV, 8 (August 1974) by the Regents of the University of California. Published by the University of California Press. [pdf]
- "President Nixon's Trip to China and Its Consequence," HI-1666/3-P Asian Survey XIII, 7 (July 1973). by the Regents of the University of California. Published by the University of California Press. [pdf]
- "The Prospects for China" (June 1973).
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